Welcome to the Hong Kong Tourism Demand Forecasting System website, a part of the research project "Developing a Tourism Demand Forecasting System for Hong Kong" (more about this project).

Objectives

This website presents the forecasting outputs of the project, which includes quarterly forecasts of tourist arrivals, expenditures, and sectoral demand related to Hong Kong's inbound and outbound tourism flows. It allows users to conduct scenario analyses on forecasting by manipulating the input variables.

How To Use this Site

• The Main Menu on the left hand of each page represents the following:
  
  

  • Forecasting Methods - If you wish to familiarize yourself with general forecasting methods, you should start with this link. It describes the forecasting methods and shows how they are related to one another. The forecasting methods used in this website are also discussed here.

  • Tourism Forecasts - If you are interested in the research outputs on Hong Kong tourism forecasts, please start with this link. For non-subscribing users, only annual forecasts of tourist arrivals can be viewed. Subscribing users will be able to view all the quarterly forecasts in terms of figures and graphs as well as the explanations and discussions of the results.

  • Scenario Analysis - If you wish to conduct scenario analysis on Hong Kong tourism forecasts of tourist arrivals, expenditures, sectoral demand and outbound flows, you should start with this link. However, only subscribing users will be able to use this service.

  • Forecasting Adjustment - This link provides judgmental forecasts on Hong Kong tourism of tourist arrivals, expenditures, sectoral demand and outbound flows.

  • Glossary - Defines key words or phrases used in this website.

  • Discussion Forum - This forum provides you an opportunity to raise questions related to tourism forecasting, and participate in discussion on issues or questions of interest.

  • Site Map - This link provides an overview and contains links to all key pages.

  • Suggestions and Comments - Please feel free to give us your suggestions and comments on this website.

  • Related Websites - This provides a list of links related to this research.

  • Subscribe to this Site - If you wish to subscribe to this forecasting Website, please start with this link.




• For detailed information about this research project and the project investigators, as well as the research outputs, and our contact information, please use the links in the Navigation Bar at the top of each page.





• To login/logoff, or update your customer information, please use the link "My Account" located in the Navigator Bar at the top of each page.

Updates

Forecasts will be updated on a regular basis, in particular for each quarter. The date of the last revision to the forecasting results will be displayed at the bottom of the left-hand navigation bar.