Recent News

	The Fourth Issue of Hong Kong Tourism Forecasting Report Published (2009-04-14) The Hong Kong Tourism Forecasting Report presents the forecasts of demand for Hong Kong tourism from this site. This issue focuses on the impact of the global financial crisis and the demand for hotel rooms in Hong Kong up to 2015 .. More
	The 5th UNWTO Conference on Tourism Statistics (2009-04-06) Professor Haiyan Song, principle investigator of this forecasting project was invited by the United Nation's World Tourism Organization (UNWTO) to speak on tourism statistics and forecasting at the 5th UNWTO Conference on Tourism Statistics held on 30 March - 2 April in Bali, Indonesia. In his speech, Professor Song introduced the Web-based tourism demand forecasting system and its use in business decision and policy-makings.
	The Third Issue of Hong Kong Tourism Forecasting Report Published (2008-12-02) The Hong Kong Tourism Forecasting Report presents the forecasts of demand for Hong Kong tourism from this site. This issue focuses on the impact of the global financial crisis on Hong Kong tourism demand .. More
	The System Won The Silver Award in The 6th International Invention Exhibition (2008-11-20)    The 6th International Invention Exhibition (Oct 16 - 19, Suzhou, China) has been successfully concluded. The web-based tourism demand forecasting system has received the Silver Award. The exhibition was sponsored by International Federation of Inventors' Associations (IFIA) .. More

Objectives

This website presents the forecasting outputs of the project, which includes quarterly forecasts of tourist arrivals, expenditures, and sectoral demand related to Hong Kong's inbound and outbound tourism flows. It allows users to conduct scenario analyses on forecasting by manipulating the input variables.

How To Use this Site

• The Main Menu on the left hand of each page represents the following:
  
  

  • Forecasting Methods - If you wish to familiarize yourself with general forecasting methods, you should start with this link. It describes the forecasting methods and shows how they are related to one another. The forecasting methods used in this website are also discussed here.

  • Tourism Forecasts - If you are interested in the research outputs on Hong Kong tourism forecasts, please start with this link. For non-subscribing users, only annual forecasts of tourist arrivals can be viewed. Subscribing users will be able to view all the quarterly forecasts in terms of figures and graphs as well as the explanations and discussions of the results.

  • Scenario Analysis - If you wish to conduct scenario analysis on Hong Kong tourism forecasts of tourist arrivals, expenditures, sectoral demand and outbound flows, you should start with this link. However, only subscribing users will be able to use this service.

  • Forecasting Adjustment - This link provides judgmental forecasts on Hong Kong tourism of tourist arrivals, expenditures, sectoral demand and outbound flows.

  • Glossary - Defines key words or phrases used in this website.

  • Discussion Forum - This forum provides you an opportunity to raise questions related to tourism forecasting, and participate in discussion on issues or questions of interest.

  • Site Map - This link provides an overview and contains links to all key pages.

  • Suggestions and Comments - Please feel free to give us your suggestions and comments on this website.

  • Related Websites - This provides a list of links related to this research.

  • Subscribe to this Site - If you wish to subscribe to this forecasting Website, please start with this link.




• For detailed information about this research project and the project investigators, as well as the research outputs, and our contact information, please use the links in the Navigation Bar at the top of each page.





• To login/logoff, or update your customer information, please use the link "My Account" located in the Navigator Bar at the top of each page.

Updates

Forecasts will be updated on a regular basis, in particular for each quarter. The date of the last revision to the forecasting results will be displayed at the bottom of the left-hand navigation bar.