Books           Conference Papers          Journal Articles

Books

(1) Li, G., Song, H., and Witt, S. F. (2005). Forecasting Tourism Demand using Econometric Models, in Buhalis D. and Costa, C. (eds.), Tourism Management Dynamics: Trends, Management and Tools, Oxford: Butterworth-Heinemann. (On-line Reading)

(2) Song, H., and Turner, L. (2006). Tourism Demand Forecasting. Dwyer, L., and Forsyth, P. (eds.) International Handbook on the Economics of Tourism, Edward Elgar. (On-line Reading)

(3) Song, H., Wong, K.K.F. and Witt, S.F. (2008). Assessing the Impact of Forecast Combination on Tourism Demand Forecasting Accuracy, in Gartner, W.C. and Hsu, C.H.C (eds.), Handbook of Tourism Research, New York: Haworth Press.

(4) Song, H., Witt, S. F., & Li, G. (2009). The Advanced Econometrics of Tourism Demand. New York: Routledge. (On-line Reading)

(5) Song, H., and Witt, S.F. (2000). Tourism Demand Modeling and Forecasting: Modern Econometric Approaches, Oxford: Pergamon.

(6) Turner, L. and Witt, S.F. (2000). Asia Pacific Tourism Forecasts 2000-2004, Travel and Tourism Intelligence, London.

(7) Turner, L. and Witt, S.F. (2002). Asia Pacific Tourism Forecasts 2002-2004, Pacific Asia Travel Association, Bangkok.

(8) Turner, L. and Witt, S.F. (2003). Asia Pacific Tourism Forecasts 2003-2005, Pacific Asia Travel Association, Bangkok.

(9) Turner, L. and Witt, S.F. (2004). Asia Pacific Tourism Forecasts 2004-2006, Pacific Asia Travel Association, Bangkok.

(10) Turner, L. and Witt, S.F. (2005). Asia Pacific Tourism Forecasts 2005-2007, Pacific Asia Travel Association, Bangkok.

(11) Turner, L. and Witt, S.F. (2006). Asia Pacific Tourism Forecasts 2006-2008, Pacific Asia Travel Association, Bangkok.

(12) Turner, L. and Witt, S.F. (2006). Asia Pacific Tourism Forecasts 2006-2008, China Travel and Tourism Press, Beijing (in Chinese).

(13) Turner, L. and Witt, S.F. (2007). Asia Pacific Tourism Forecasts 2007-2009, Pacific Asia Travel Association, Bangkok.

(14) Turner, L. and Witt, S.F. (2007). Asia Pacific Tourism Forecasts 2007-2009, China Travel and Tourism Press, Beijing (in Chinese).

(15) Turner, L. W., Witt, S. F., & Pacific Asia Travel Association. (2008). Asia Pacific Tourism Forecasts 2008-2010. Pacific Asia Travel Association, Bangkok.

(16) Turner, L. and Witt, S.F. (2001). Tourism Forecasts for Europe 2001-2005, Pacific Asia Travel Association, Bangkok.

(17) Witt, S. F., Brooke, M. Z., and Buckley, P. J. (1995). The Management of International Tourism (second edition), London: Routledge.

(18) Witt, S. F., and Song, H. (2001). Forecasting future tourism flows. In A. Lockwood & S. Medlik (Eds.), Tourism and Hospitality in the 21st Century. Oxford, UK: Butterworth-Heinemann.

(19) Witt, S.F. and Witt, C. (1992). Modeling and Forecasting Demand in Tourism, London: Academic Press.

(20) Wong, K.F. and Song, H. (2002). Tourism Forecasting and Marketing, New York: Haworth Press. (On-line Reading)


Conference Papers

(1) Athanasopoulos, G., Hyndman, R., Song, H., and Wu, D.C. (2009). The tourism forecasting competition. Paper presented at the 29th Annual International Symposium on Forecasting. June 21-23, Hong Kong.

(2) Girardin, E., Song, H., and Lin, V. S. (2009). The law of one price for hotel rooms: does it hold in Greater China and is it useful for forecasting? Paper presented at the 29th Annual International Symposium on Forecasting. June 21-23, Hong Kong.

(3) Kulendran, N., Wong, K. (2009). Predicting turns in Hong Kong inbound tourism demand growth rate with determinants. Paper presented at the 29th Annual International Symposium on Forecasting. June 21-23, Hong Kong.

(4) Shen, S., Li, G., and Song, H. (2009). Combination forecasts of UK outbound tourism demand. Paper presented at the 29th Annual International Symposium on Forecasting. June 21-23 , Hong Kong.

(5) Song, H., Kim, J., Wong, K., Athanasopoulos, G., and Liu, S. (2009). Beyond point forecasting: evaluation of alternative prediction intervals for tourist arrivals. Paper presented at the 29th Annual International Symposium on Forecasting. June 21-23, Hong Kong.

(6) Song, H., Lin, S., Zhang, X., Gao, Z. (2009). Global financial crisis and Hong Kong tourism demand forecast. Paper presented at the 29th Annual International Symposium on Forecasting. June 21-23, Hong Kong.

(7) Song, H., Gao, Z., Zhang, X., Lin, S. (2009). An advanced web-based tourism demand forecasting system. Paper presented at the 29th Annual International Symposium on Forecasting. June 21-23, Hong Kong.

(8) Witt, S. F. (2009). Time varying parameter structural time series models: an application to tourism demand. Paper presented at the 29th Annual International Symposium on Forecasting. June 21-23, Hong Kong.

(9) Wu, D.C., Song, H., and Li, G. (2009). Econometric analysis of tourism demand systems: a time-varying perspective. Paper presented at the 29th Annual International Symposium on Forecasting. June 21-23, Hong Kong.

(10) Zhang, X., Song, H., Witt, S.F. (2009). Tourism supply chain forecasting: a collaborative approach. Paper presented at the 29th Annual International Symposium on Forecasting. June 21-22, Hong Kong.


Journal Articles

(1) Kim, S. and Song, H. (1998). Analysis of tourism demand in South Korea: a cointegration and error correction approach. Tourism Analysis, 18, 25-41.

(2) Kulendran, N., and Witt, S. F. (2001). Cointegration versus least squares regression. Annals of Tourism Research, 28, 291-311.

(3) Li, G., Song, H., and Witt, S. F. (2004). Modeling tourism demand: a dynamic linear AIDS approach. Journal of Travel Research, 43, 141-150.

(4) Li, G., Song, H. and Witt, S. F. (2005). Recent developments in econometric modeling and forecasting. Journal of Travel Research, 44, 82-99. (Download

(5) Li, G., Song, H. and Witt, S. F. (2006). Time varying parameter and fixed parameter linear AIDS: An application to tourism demand forecasting. International Journal of Forecasting, 22, 57-71. (Download

(6) Li, G., Wong, K. F., Song, H., and Witt, S. F. (2006). Tourism demand forecasting: a time varying parameter error correction model. Journal of Travel Research, 45: 175-185. (Download

(7) Papathedorou, A. and Song H. (2005). International tourism forecasts: time series analysis of world and regional data. Tourism Economics, 11(1), 11-23.

(8) Song, H. and Fei, B. (2007). Modelling and forecasting international tourist Arrivals to mainland China. China Tourism Research, 3 (1), 20-40.

(9) Song, H., Kim, J. H., and Yang, S. (2010). Confidence intervals for tourism demand elasticity. Annals of Tourism Research, Available online 24 December 2009.

(10)Song, H. and Li, G. (2008). Tourism demand modelling and forecasting: a review of recent research. Tourism Management, 29 (2), 203-220. (Download

(11)Song, H. and Lin, S. (2010). Impacts of the financial and economic crisis on tourism in Asia. Journal of Travel Research Electronic Resource, 49(1), 16.

(12) Song, H., Romilly, P. and Liu, X. (2000). An empirical study of outbound tourism demand in the U.K. Applied Economics, 32, 611-624.

(13) Song, H., Witt, S. F. and Jensen, T. C. (2003). Tourism forecasting: accuracy of alternative econometric models. International Journal of Forecasting, 19, 123-141.

(14) Song, H. and Witt, S. F. (2003). Tourism forecasting: the general-to-specific approach. Journal of Travel Research, 42, 65-74.

(15) Song, H., Witt, S. F. and Zhang, X. Y. (2008). Developing a web-based tourism demand forecasting system. Tourism Economics, 14 (3), 445-468.

(16) Song, H. and Witt, S.F. (2003). General-to-specific modeling to international tourism demand forecasting. Journal of Travel Research, 42 (1), 65-74.

(17) Song, H. and Witt, S.F. (2006). Forecasting international tourist flows to Macau. Tourism Management, 27 (2), 214-224.

(18) Song, H., Witt, S.F. and Jensen, T.C. (2003). Tourism forecasting: accuracy of alternative econometric models. International Journal of Forecasting, 19, 123-141.

(19) Song, H., Witt, S. F. and Li, G. (2003). Modelling and forecasting demand for Thai tourism. Tourism Economics, 9 (4), 363-387. (Download

(20) Song, H., Wong, K.F. and Chon, K. (2003). Modelling and forecasting the demand for Hong Kong tourism. International Journal of Hospitality Management, 22, 435-451.

(21) Song, H., Wong, K.F. and Chon, K. (2003). Forecasting international tourism demand in Hong Kong 2001-2008. International Journal of Hospitality Management, 22 (4), 435-451.

(22) Song, H. and Wong, K. K. F. (2003). Tourism demand modeling: a time-varying parameter approach. Journal of Travel Research, 42, 57-64.

(23) Turner, L. W., Reisinger, Y. and Witt, S. F. (1998). Tourism demand analysis using structural equation modelling. Tourism Economics, 4, 301-323.

(24) Turner, L. W., and Witt, S. F. (2001). Factors influencing demand for international tourism: Tourism demand analysis using structural equation modelling. Tourism Economics, 7, 21-38.

(25) Turner, L. W. and Witt, S. F. (2001). Forecasting tourism using univariate and Multivariate Structural Time Series Models. Tourism Economics, 7, 135-147.

(26) Witt, C. A. and Witt, S. F. (1990) Appraising an econometric forecasting model. Journal of Travel Research, 28, 30-34.

(27) Witt, C.A., Witt, S.F. and Wilson, N., (1994) Forecasting international tourist flows. Annals of Tourism Research, 21, 612-628.

(28) Witt, S. F. (1980). An abstract mode-abstract (destination) node model of foreign holiday demand. Applied Economics, 12, 163-180.

(29) Witt, S. F. (1980). An econometric comparison of UK and German foreign holiday behaviour. Managerial and Decision Economics, 1, 123–131.

(30) Witt, S.F., Song, H. and Louvieris, P. (2003). Statistical testing in forecasting model selection. Journal of Travel Research, 42 (2), 151-158.

(31) Witt, S.F., Song, H. and Wanhill, S. (2004). Forecasting tourism generated employment: the case of Denmark. Tourism Economics, 10 (2), 167-176.

(32) Witt, S.F. and Turner, L.W. (2002). Trends and forecasts for inbound tourism in China. Journal of Travel & Tourism Marketing, 13(1/2), 99-109.

(33) Witt, S. F. and Witt, C. A. (1991) Tourism forecasting: error magnitude, direction of change error and trend change error. Journal of Travel Research, 30, 26-33.

(34) Witt, S. F., and Witt, C. A. (1995). Forecasting tourism demand: a review of empirical research. International Journal of Forecasting, 11, 447-475.

(35) Wong, K.F., Song, H. and Chon, K. (2006). Bayesian models for tourism demand forecasting. Tourism Management, 27 (5), 773-780.

(36) Wong, K.F., Song, H., Witt, S.F. and Wu, D.C. (2007). Tourism forecasting: to combine or not to combine? Tourism Management, 28, 1068-1078.