Hong Kong Tourism Forecasting Report

The Hong Kong Tourism Forecasting Report presents the forecasts of demand for Hong Kong tourism from this site. This report provides a very important source of information and update for diverse private businesses operating in Hong Kong's hospitality and tourism industries in the process of their strategic planning and strategy formulation. The report will be published on a quarterly basis. Among the four issues per annum, the first one will present the full forecasts of Hong Kong tourism demand while the other three will focus on the future trends of specific tourism sectors in Hong Kong. Demand is measured by tourist arrivals, tourist expenditure, and hotel room nights. Hong Kong resident departures are also forecast. Econometric methods are used to generate the forecasts with adjustments made by a panel of Delphi experts.

2009/10 issues

Vol.2 No.2    (10/03/2010)

This issue publishes the updated annual and quarterly forecasts of tourist arrivals from 10 major source markets up to 2015 by evaluating the impacts of the current global financial/economic crisis.

Table of Contents and Executive Summary (Free)

The Full Report

Vol.2 No.1    Delphi survey (15/10/09)

This issue focuses on forecasting tourist arrivals and the demand for hotel rooms in Hong Kong demand for arrivals and hotel rooms under the influence of the current economic/financial crisis and the Swine influenza.

Table of Contents and Executive Summary (Free)

The Full Report (High Resolution, 5.39MB)

The Full Report (Low Resolution, 745KB)

2008/09 issues

Vol. 1 No. 4

This issue focuses on the impact of the global financial crisis and publishes the updated forecasts of demand for hotel rooms in Hong Kong up to 2015 based upon real data up to 2007.

Table of Contents & Introduction (Free)

The Full Report

Vol. 1 No. 3

This issue focuses on the impact of the global financial crisis on Hong Kong tourism demand.

Table of Contents & Introduction (Free)

The Full Report

Vol. 1 No. 2

This issue focuses on the two major source markets of Hong Kong: mainland China and Taiwan.

Table of Contents & Introduction (Free)

The Full Report

Vol. 1 No. 1

This first issue provides long-term tourism demand forecasts for Hong Kong up to 2015. The forecasts are based upon real data up to 2006.

Table of Contents (Free)

Report Part I  Part II